Désagrégation temporelle du cumul annuel de croissance de l'herbe
Abstract
Information on the grass growth over a year is essential for some models simulating the
use of this grassland resource for the production of fodder or for feeding animals on pasture.
Unfortunately, this information is rarely available. The challenge is to reconstruct grass growth
from two sources of information: daily climate data (rainfall, radiation, etc.) and cumulative
growth over the year. In this paper, we formulate this challenge as a problem of disaggregating
the cumulative sum of growth into a time series. To address this problem, our method applies
time series forecasting using climate information. Several alternatives of the method are proposed
and compared experimentally using a database generated from a grassland simulator.
The results show that our method can accurately reconstruct the time series, independently of
the use of the cumulative sum of growth.